The British Academy is announcing their own winners right now; not always a good predictor of the Oscars, but they can provide something of an indicator. Inception is winning many technical categories, and Helena Bonham Carter has won too - perhaps a good sign for The King's Speech, but it has also just won the Best British Film award, which usually goes to a film that doesn't win the Best Film prize (I don't know if it's against the rules for a film to win both, but no film has done so for about forty years).
Perhaps there will be an upset later today - and if The King's Speech doesn't win the BAFTA Award (which is more likely to go to a British movie than the Oscar), perhaps The Social Network may be rallying. We shall soon see.
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Never mind - a King's Speech victory as was generally expected. One small surprise: the win for David Fincher in the Director category, though there is not as firm a match between director & film at the BAFTAs as there is at the Oscars. Fincher's win here does raise some hopes for his Oscar chances, though.
Although I think The King's Speech is better directed, I think Fincher will win. He's extremely overdue, and his BAFTA win helps a lot. But the DGA loss is really damaging..
ReplyDeleteI'll reveal my thoughts later next week..
I'm not so sure - Picture & Director usually go hand in hand, so it's very unlikely Fincher will get it. I don't think The Social Network is my favorite movie of last year (though I have yet to decide what is), but I do think that Fincher probably did the best directing job.
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